GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 3/9/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Dietkirchen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 32.9-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

62.7%

Model confidence

62.7%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DietkirchenLWLLD

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Vfb MarburgDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DietkirchenVfb Marburg
48.0Attack50.0
16.7Defence66.7
23.5Form66.7
32.0Power64.8
1.33xG2.74
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