GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/16/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Dietkirchen are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Friedberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 40.9-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.0% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

67.0%

Model confidence

67.0%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DietkirchenLDLDL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FriedbergWLDWW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
DietkirchenFriedberg
48.0Attack66.7
16.7Defence66.7
23.5Form77.8
32.0Power72.8
1.36xG3.09
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