GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/25/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Dietkirchen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Fernwald are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

54.3%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DietkirchenLDWLW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FernwaldDLWLL

GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
DietkirchenFernwald
48.0Attack41.7
16.7Defence58.3
23.5Form41.7
32.0Power48.8
1.50xG2.44
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