GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 3/23/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dietkirchen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Baunatal are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dietkirchen hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baunatal

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DietkirchenLLDLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BaunatalWLWLL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
DietkirchenBaunatal
48.0Attack22.2
16.7Defence44.4
23.5Form11.1
32.0Power29.5
1.77xG2.18
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