Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Aarau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dietikon are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while FC Aarau are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Aarau hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Schweizer Cup, while FC Aarau holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Aarau
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
FC Aarau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 9 · avg 0.00/3.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20