Diegem Sportvs
Nijlen
COMPLETEDBelgium · Second Amateur Division - VFV B · 10/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Diegem Sport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Diegem Sport 1-4 Nijlen
Original prediction
Diegem Sport
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 60.5% | 59.5% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 21.5% | 20.2% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.93 | 18.0% | 20.3% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Diegem Sport
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
59.5%
Diegem Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80