Diegem Sportvs
Bocholt
COMPLETEDBelgium · Second Amateur Division - VFV B · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Diegem Sport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Diegem Sport 2-2 Bocholt
Original prediction
Diegem Sport
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 51.8% | 51.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 21.5% | 22.3% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 26.7% | 26.6% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Diegem Sport
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Diegem Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 19 · avg 2.00/3.80
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40