GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/26/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Didcot Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (30.5 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

73.3%

Model confidence

73.3%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Didcot TownLWDLL

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownLLWWW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Didcot TownMerthyr Town
35.7Attack67.5
25.4Defence53.2
22.2Form53.2
30.5Power57.2
1.01xG3.01
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