Dibba Al-Fujairahvs
Gulf United
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 8/28/2026, 3:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dibba Al-Fujairah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dibba Al-Fujairah 4-3 Gulf United
Original prediction
Dibba Al-Fujairah
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 68.4% | 56.9% | -11.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.60 | 19.4% | 23.0% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 7.33 | 12.2% | 20.1% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Dibba Al-Fujairah
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Dibba Al-Fujairah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60