Dibba Al-Fujairahvs
Al Arabi
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Arabi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dibba Al-Fujairah 2-0 Al Arabi
Original prediction
Al Arabi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 12:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 42.9% | 36.6% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.5% | 23.4% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 30.6% | 39.9% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Al Arabi
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Al Arabi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40