Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oman Club · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dhofar 0-1 Oman Club
Original prediction
Oman Club
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 04:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.57 | 25.4% | 35.0% | 9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.1% | 28.3% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.5% | 36.7% | -9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Oman Club
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Oman Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DhofarDWDLL
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Oman ClubLLWWW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
DhofarOman Club
83.3Attack44.4
25.0Defence66.7
58.3Form44.4
56.3Power53.1
1.86xG1.57