Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Nasr · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dhofar 1-2 Al Nasr
Original prediction
Al Nasr
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.63 | 24.9% | 22.9% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 30.5% | 27.6% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.6% | 49.5% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Al Nasr
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DhofarLWLWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al NasrWWDWL
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
DhofarAl Nasr
34.8Attack42.4
45.5Defence63.6
30.3Form48.5
38.8Power52.6
0.78xG1.32