Dewa Unitedvs
PSS Sleman
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 9/20/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dewa United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dewa United 2-1 PSS Sleman
Original prediction
Dewa United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 62.5% | 55.6% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.1% | 23.7% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 5.86 | 15.4% | 20.7% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Dewa United
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Dewa United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60