Dewa Unitedvs
Persijap
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 10/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dewa United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dewa United 2-0 Persijap
Original prediction
Dewa United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.13 | 80.6% | 70.5% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.87 | 13.3% | 17.1% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 14.91 | 6.1% | 12.4% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Dewa United
Probability
70.5%
Model confidence
70.5%
Dewa United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40