Dewa Unitedvs
Bhayangkara FC
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 9/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dewa United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dewa United 2-2 Bhayangkara FC
Original prediction
Dewa United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.5% | 45.3% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.0% | 27.6% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.43 | 20.5% | 27.1% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Dewa United
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Dewa United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60