GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/9/2026, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Devonport U21 are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ulverstone U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport U21 hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.0% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Devonport U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport U21

Probability

67.8%

Model confidence

7.0%

Devonport U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Devonport U21DWWWW

GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ulverstone U21LWDWW

GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Devonport U21Ulverstone U21
100.0Attack83.3
59.3Defence42.6
77.8Form61.1
72.9Power60.4
4.01xG1.94
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