GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/6/2024, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Highconfidence

Devonport U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 4.40 conceded, while Ulverstone are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport U21 hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.2% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Devonport U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport U21

Probability

63.2%

Model confidence

63.2%

Devonport U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Devonport U21LLLDW

GF 10 · GA 22 · avg 2.00/4.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UlverstoneLDLLW

GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Devonport U21Ulverstone
100.0Attack98.4
59.3Defence38.1
77.8Form65.1
72.9Power63.4
4.28xG2.27
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