GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 3/28/2026, 5:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Devonport U21 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 5.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Somerset are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport U21 hold a 33.6-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Devonport U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport U21

Probability

77.0%

Model confidence

8.7%

Devonport U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Devonport U21WWWWL

GF 27 · GA 11 · avg 5.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SomersetWWWWW

GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Devonport U21Somerset
100.0Attack74.1
59.3Defence9.3
77.8Form42.6
72.9Power39.4
4.50xG1.63
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