Devonport U21vs
Somerset
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/5/2025, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Devonport U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Devonport U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Somerset are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport U21 hold a 33.6-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.6% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Devonport U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Devonport U21
Probability
75.6%
Model confidence
75.6%
Devonport U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80
GF 6 · GA 20 · avg 1.20/4.00