GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/10/2025, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Devonport U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Somerset are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 4.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport U21 hold a 33.6-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.6% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Devonport U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport U21

Probability

75.6%

Model confidence

75.6%

Devonport U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Devonport U21WDWWL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SomersetLWWWW

GF 24 · GA 8 · avg 4.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Devonport U21Somerset
100.0Attack74.1
59.3Defence9.3
77.8Form42.6
72.9Power39.4
4.50xG1.63
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