GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 4/20/2024, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Devonport U21 are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 4.25 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Somerset are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWWL), averaging 3.75 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 8 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport U21 hold a 33.6-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.6% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Devonport U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport U21

Probability

75.6%

Model confidence

75.6%

Devonport U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Devonport U21LLWW

GF 17 · GA 14 · avg 4.25/3.50

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
SomersetLWWL

GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.75/2.50

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
Devonport U21Somerset
100.0Attack74.1
59.3Defence9.3
77.8Form42.6
72.9Power39.4
4.50xG1.63
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