GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/17/2024, 4:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Devonport U21 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Riverside Olympic U21 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport U21 hold a 49.5-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 23.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.3% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Devonport U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport U21

Probability

86.3%

Model confidence

86.3%

Devonport U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Devonport U21LWLLL

GF 9 · GA 19 · avg 1.80/3.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Riverside Olympic U21LLLLD

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Devonport U21Riverside Olympic U21
100.0Attack46.3
59.3Defence0.0
77.8Form27.8
72.9Power23.4
4.50xG0.98
View match centre →