GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 6/22/2024, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Devonport U21 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Riverside Olympic U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport U21 hold a 49.5-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 23.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.3% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Devonport U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport U21

Probability

86.3%

Model confidence

86.3%

Devonport U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Devonport U21LDWLD

GF 11 · GA 18 · avg 2.20/3.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Riverside Olympic U21LWWWD

GF 17 · GA 11 · avg 3.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Devonport U21Riverside Olympic U21
100.0Attack46.3
59.3Defence0.0
77.8Form27.8
72.9Power23.4
4.50xG0.98
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