GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/3/2024, 4:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport U21 · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Devonport U21 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 5.80 conceded, while Launceston United U21 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 5.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport U21 hold a 57.1-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 15.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.7% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Devonport U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport U21

Probability

90.7%

Model confidence

90.7%

Devonport U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Devonport U21LLLLL

GF 7 · GA 29 · avg 1.40/5.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Launceston United U21LLLLD

GF 4 · GA 26 · avg 0.80/5.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Devonport U21Launceston United U21
100.0Attack28.1
59.3Defence0.0
77.8Form14.0
72.9Power15.8
4.50xG0.67
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