GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 6/15/2024, 4:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Devonport U21 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Launceston U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport U21 hold a 28.9-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.2% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Devonport U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport U21

Probability

82.2%

Model confidence

82.2%

Devonport U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Devonport U21DWLDL

GF 10 · GA 19 · avg 2.00/3.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Launceston U21DLLWW

GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Devonport U21Launceston U21
100.0Attack55.6
59.3Defence33.3
77.8Form44.4
72.9Power44.0
4.50xG1.24
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