GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/3/2025, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Devonport U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Burnie Utd. are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 4.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport U21 hold a 40.0-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.8% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Devonport U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport U21

Probability

73.8%

Model confidence

73.8%

Devonport U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Devonport U21DWWLL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Burnie Utd.LLLLL

GF 9 · GA 24 · avg 1.80/4.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Devonport U21Burnie Utd.
100.0Attack80.7
59.3Defence0.0
77.8Form29.8
72.9Power32.9
4.50xG1.74
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