GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 4/1/2023, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Devonport City are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 3.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Launceston City are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport City hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (78.6 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.7% in the Tasmania NPL, while Devonport City holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport City

Probability

79.7%

Model confidence

79.7%

Devonport City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Devonport CityWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 3.50/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Launceston CityWW

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 1.50/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Devonport CityLaunceston City
100.0Attack71.9
64.9Defence35.1
80.7Form56.1
78.6Power52.9
4.50xG1.39
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