GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 4/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Detroit City · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Detroit City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Sporting JAX are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Detroit City hold a 34.1-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 25.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.3% in the USL Championship, while Detroit City holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Detroit City

Probability

77.3%

Model confidence

77.3%

Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Detroit CityDWLWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting JAXLLLDL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Detroit CitySporting JAX
48.1Attack40.4
68.5Defence10.5
57.4Form14.0
59.2Power25.1
2.68xG0.63
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