Detroit Cityvs
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Detroit City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Detroit City 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Detroit City 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Original prediction
Detroit City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.6% | 43.8% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 30.7% | 32.6% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 25.7% | 23.7% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Projected Score
Detroit City 0–0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Detroit City
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80