GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 5/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Detroit City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Detroit City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Louisville City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Detroit City hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the USL Championship, while Detroit City holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Detroit City

Probability

54.6%

Model confidence

12.3%

Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Detroit CityLWDWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Louisville CityWWDLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Detroit CityLouisville City
48.1Attack57.9
68.5Defence43.9
57.4Form49.1
59.2Power52.2
1.77xG0.98
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