Detroit Cityvs
Hartford Athletic
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Detroit City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Detroit City 0-0 Hartford Athletic, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Detroit City 1-1 Hartford Athletic
Original prediction
Detroit City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 50.6% | 49.5% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.5% | 31.4% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 3.99 | 22.9% | 19.1% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Projected Score
Detroit City 0–0 Hartford Athletic
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Detroit City
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40