Detroit Cityvs
Birmingham Legion
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Detroit City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Detroit City 1-0 Birmingham Legion, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Detroit City 1-0 Birmingham Legion
Original prediction
Detroit City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 57.1% | 53.8% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.5% | 25.8% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.73 | 19.4% | 20.3% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.3 pts
Projected Score
Detroit City 1–0 Birmingham Legion
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Detroit City
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40