Detonit Plachkovicavs
Ohrid
COMPLETEDMacedonia · Second League · 9/24/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ohrid · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Detonit Plachkovica 0-2 Ohrid
Original prediction
Ohrid
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.15 | 21.9% | 28.1% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.1% | 27.1% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 53.0% | 44.8% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Ohrid
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Ohrid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80