Dessel Sportvs
Spouwen-Mopertingen
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/17/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dessel Sport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dessel Sport 3-4 Spouwen-Mopertingen
Original prediction
Dessel Sport
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 45.0% | 39.7% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 24.7% | 23.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 30.3% | 37.0% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Dessel Sport
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Dessel Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40