Dessel Sportvs
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/24/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dessel Sport 2-2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Original prediction
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 35.9% | 33.7% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.6% | 22.9% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 40.5% | 43.4% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.82 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–27%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40