Dessel Sportvs
Heist
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/9/2023, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dessel Sport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dessel Sport are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWLW), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Heist are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 3.33 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Heist hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the First Amateur Division, while Dessel Sport holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dessel Sport
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Dessel Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.75/1.50
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 3.33/0.33