Dessel Sportvs
Harelbeke
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/3/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dessel Sport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dessel Sport 4-0 Harelbeke
Original prediction
Dessel Sport
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 51.8% | 53.5% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.1% | 23.1% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 3.59 | 25.1% | 23.4% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Dessel Sport
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Dessel Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00