Dessel Sportvs
Cercle Brugge II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/19/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dessel Sport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dessel Sport 3-1 Cercle Brugge II
Original prediction
Dessel Sport
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 40.3% | 38.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 24.9% | 25.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 34.8% | 36.1% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Dessel Sport
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Dessel Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20