Desportivo Brasil U20vs
São Paulo U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
São Paulo U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Desportivo Brasil U20 0-0 São Paulo U20, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Desportivo Brasil U20 0-1 São Paulo U20
Original prediction
São Paulo U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.03 | 22.2% | 28.3% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 24.9% | 28.4% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 53.0% | 43.3% | -9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.6 pts
Projected Score
Desportivo Brasil U20 0–0 São Paulo U20
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
São Paulo U20
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
São Paulo U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40