Desenzano Calvinavs
Trento
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 8/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Desenzano Calvina 0-0 Trento, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Desenzano Calvina 0-0 Trento
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.04 | 29.8% | 35.2% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.1% | 31.8% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 40.0% | 33.0% | -7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.01 · Draw 2.01 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Projected Score
Desenzano Calvina 0–0 Trento
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.8%
Model confidence
35.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Desenzano CalvinaDDL
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33
BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
TrentoWWLWD
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Desenzano CalvinaTrento
50.0Attack29.8
50.0Defence67.5
50.0Form44.7
50.0Power49.2
0.92xG0.71