Desenzano Calvinavs
Pergolettese
SCHEDULEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 4/18/2027, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Desenzano Calvina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Desenzano Calvina are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Pergolettese are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Desenzano Calvina hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Desenzano Calvina holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Desenzano Calvina
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Desenzano Calvina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60