GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Desenzano Calvina are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Ospitaletto are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Desenzano Calvina hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Desenzano CalvinaL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
OspitalettoLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Desenzano CalvinaOspitaletto
50.0Attack36.0
50.0Defence62.3
50.0Form39.5
50.0Power47.8
1.08xG0.85
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