GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/7/2027, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Desenzano Calvina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Desenzano Calvina are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Novara are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Desenzano Calvina hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Desenzano Calvina holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Desenzano Calvina

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Desenzano Calvina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Desenzano CalvinaL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
NovaraLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Desenzano CalvinaNovara
50.0Attack34.2
50.0Defence57.0
50.0Form37.7
50.0Power45.4
1.23xG0.81
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