Desenzano Calvinavs
Juventus U23
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/26/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Desenzano Calvina · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Desenzano Calvina 0-0 Juventus U23
Original prediction
Desenzano Calvina
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.3% | 41.6% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 28.8% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.6% | 29.6% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Desenzano Calvina
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Desenzano Calvina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60