GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Desenzano Calvina are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Cittadella are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Cittadella hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Desenzano CalvinaL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
CittadellaDWLDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Desenzano CalvinaCittadella
50.0Attack39.5
50.0Defence62.3
50.0Form51.8
50.0Power53.5
1.05xG0.96
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