GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/28/2027, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Desenzano Calvina are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Alcione are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Desenzano Calvina hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.8%

Model confidence

41.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Desenzano CalvinaDL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
AlcioneLLLWD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Desenzano CalvinaAlcione
50.0Attack28.9
50.0Defence67.5
50.0Form41.2
50.0Power47.9
0.92xG0.69
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