Derry Cityvs
Shelbourne
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 3/13/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Derry City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Derry City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Shelbourne are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 49.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Premier Division, while Derry City holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Derry City
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Derry City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60