Derry Cityvs
Shamrock Rovers
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 8/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shamrock Rovers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Derry City 3-3 Shamrock Rovers
Original prediction
Shamrock Rovers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 35.6% | 26.1% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 28.4% | 26.5% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 35.9% | 47.4% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Shamrock Rovers
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Shamrock Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40