Derry Cityvs
Dundalk
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 2/13/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Derry City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Derry City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dundalk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Premier Division, while Derry City holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Derry City
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Derry City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00