GGOALVIO

Ireland · Premier Division · 2/24/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Derry City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Derry City are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 2.33 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Cork City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Derry City hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 35.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.6% in the Premier Division, while Derry City holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Derry City

Probability

58.6%

Model confidence

58.6%

Derry City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Derry CityDLW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 2.33/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Cork CityLDDLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Derry CityCork City
43.2Attack32.4
60.5Defence40.5
40.7Form27.9
50.0Power35.6
1.72xG0.67
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